On The Truth

  • The truth is not always ambiguous. It need not exist in the middle ground, and sometimes the truth may be as simple as having two possibilities.
  • The truth is not always precise or clean.
    • Sometimes experts will argue about it, but that does not make the field of knowledge bogus.
    • The truth is not always found within numbers.
      • That said, qualitative anecdotes also require evidence.
  • Consider and Exhaust all possibilities. Sometimes, we might simply be dealing with a false dilemma. Other times, we may in fact, just be dealing with a dilemma.
    • Also factor in that what is said to be true may be based on unknown unknowns.
  • The truth is not necessarily in line with or is justifiable by :
    • One’s own belief systems.
    • The authorities
    • One’s moral compass
    • One’s appeal to emotions
    • One’s notion of absurdity / normalcy
    • Common sense
    • Ignorance
    • Silence or Absence of evidence.
  • What is is not necessarily the same as what ought to be. (see is-ought-distinction)

What to Look out For

Analogies and Comparisons

  • Ensure the objects involved in the analogy actually have a sound reason to be analogous.
  • Ensure there is sufficient information to make that analogy.
  • Avoid Reification. Abstract concepts are not real or concrete things.

Definitions

  • Definitions should be:
    • Precise and Unambiguous.
    • Objective and not trying to appeal to emotions.
    • Within context.
    • Not subtly used in a bait and switch.
    • Non-recursive—that is, a concept should not be explained in terms of itself.
    • Reflective of the whole truth and not simply snippets of the truth.

Premises

  • Avoid the following:
    • Begging the Question - the conclusion of the argument supports itself as the premise.
    • Circular Reasoning - begin with the conclusion and end with the premises.
    • Fallacy of Many Questions - a question that presupposes something unproven. Often this involves a loaded question that proves something as true regardless of the answer.

Construction

  • Arguments should be consistent.
  • Avoid the following:
    • Moving the Goalposts - refuting the argument because of “a lack of strong evidence” even though the argument has sufficiently proven the claim Essentially, it entails making a new “stronger claim”.
    • Proof by Assertion - repeating a proposition many times
    • Slippery Slopes - a small premise is argued to blow up to a large premise
    • Thought Terminating Cliches - phrases which ultimately serve to end the argument without proving or disproving the point.
    • Ignoratio elenchi - the argument may be correct but it should be relevant to the conclusion (i.e., don’t miss the point)

Context

  • Just because it was applicable in the past doesn’t mean it is applicable now.
    • Inversely, it may be the case that it is indeed applicable even now.
  • Just because it was obvious now, doesn’t mean it was obvious back then. Keep in mind the information available to us.
  • Never take or use things out of context

Generalizations

  • What is true for the whole is not necessarily true for its parts.
  • What is true for the parts is not necessarily true for the whole.
  • Ensure objects grouped together have sufficient reason to be grouped together.
  • Do not Prove too much — that is, form a generalized conclusion to argue for something specific.
  • Exemption to a generalization require justification for them being an exemption.
    • In the same vein, do not ignore accidents or exceptions to the generalization.
  • When making a generalization, make sure to include all the data. Don’t cherry pick.
  • Larger sample sizes are better for generalizations. The scope of a generalization is an indicator of its quality. It should not be applicable to only a small percentage of the population.

Subjectivity and Perception

  • What others say is not necessarily in line with the unbiased truth.
  • What is true is not necessarily in line with people’s intentions
  • What one perceives as true is not necessarily in line with what is actually true.
  • What is said is not necessarily in line with what is real.

Chance and Causes

  • A low probability does not exclude the possibility of something happening.
  • Retrospective Determinism - excluding the possibility of coincidence. Just because an event happened with another, doesn’t mean that the event caused the other to happen.
  • Correlation does not Imply Causation
    • Just because things happen in a sequence doesn’t mean they are causally related.
    • Causal Oversimplification - assuming there is only one cause for everything.
  • Do not attribute to malice what can be attributed to stupidity.
  • The Gambler’s Fallacy - independent events affect the probability of other events.
    • Inverse Gambler’s Fallacy - on the basis of an unlikely outcome, the process must have happened many times before.
  • Magical Thinking - false attribution of cause and effect (i.e., irrationality or cultural beliefs)
  • Do not attribute a cause when in fact none such cause exists.

Red Herrings

  • These are arguments that are irrelevant and draws attention away from the original topic.

Ad Hominem

  • Attacking the arguer instead of the argument
  • Circumstantial ad hominem - the arguer’s perceived benefit for advancing the argument implies the conclusion is wrong.
  • Poisoning the well - bad information about the arguer discredits what they have to say.
  • Appeal to Motive - call into question the motive of the proposer.
  • Tone Policing - call into question the emotion behind the message rather than the message itself.
  • Traitorous critic fallacy - The criticism is due to the critic’s own affiliations so any argument they make can be dismissed.

Appeals

  • The following are appeals to reason that are fallacious.
  • It must be true because:
    • The authorities say it is true.
    • The proposer is accomplished.
    • The critic has sufficient knowledge.
    • Its premise asserts positive or negative consequences.
    • It is natural or unnatural.
    • It is new, modern, old, or traditional
    • The arguer is rich or poor.
    • The majority says it is true.
    • By Association. Two thing share something so they are the same.
    • It is dogmatically true or an unstated truism (ipse dixit)
    • It does not come from an unbiased mind.
    • It was commonly held when something else, also known to be false, was also commonly held.
    • It can be inferred from one’s origin rather than the context.
    • It is what ought to be (i.e., what is morally right)
    • What ought to be is true (i.e., it is only natural)
  • One can fallaciously convince the audience by:
    • Emotion (i.e., through fear, flattery, pity, ridicule, spite or wishful thinking)
    • Threats
    • Appealing to the hypocrisy of the opponent (it is false because they do not follow their own claims.)
  • Phrases and Tactics to look out for
    • “It is not as bad as …”
    • “I am entitled to my opinion”
    • “Tu quoque / You too” - the statement is false because the proponent does not act according to it.
    • “Two wrongs make a right”
    • Nitpicking the trivial details of the argument.
    • Straw man - misrepresenting the argument by broadening or narrowing the scope.
    • Asserting a cause to explain some data (see Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy).
    • Vacuous Truths - truths that are technically true but meaningless at the same time

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